15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Uroš Medić vs Kevin Holland
We have Kevin Holland at 38.0% and Uroš Medić at 62.0%.
Ratings going in: Holland 1591, Medić 1676.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Holland | Medić |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Polymarket | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Kalshi | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Uroš Medić WW, Kevin Holland W.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Uroš Medić vs Kevin Holland?
PodiumOracle's model makes Uroš Medić the favourite at 62%, with Kevin Holland at 38%. The markets give Uroš Medić 57% on Polymarket, 61% on Kalshi and 58% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 62% favourite still loses 38% of the time.
When and where is Uroš Medić vs Kevin Holland?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.