15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule
We have Luis Gurule at 31.0% and Bilal Hasan at 69.0%.
Ratings going in: Gurule 1437, Hasan 1575.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Gurule | Hasan |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 11.8% | 88.2% |
| Polymarket | 10.5% | 89.5% |
| Kalshi | 12.0% | 88.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Bilal Hasan WW, Luis Gurule LWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule?
PodiumOracle's model makes Bilal Hasan the favourite at 69%, with Luis Gurule at 31%. The markets give Bilal Hasan 90% on Polymarket, 88% on Kalshi and 88% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 69% favourite still loses 31% of the time.
When and where is Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.