15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Chris Duncan vs Drew Dober
We have Drew Dober at 41.7% and Chris Duncan at 58.3%.
Ratings going in: Dober 1571, Duncan 1630.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Dober | Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Polymarket | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Kalshi | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Chris Duncan L, Drew Dober W.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Chris Duncan vs Drew Dober?
PodiumOracle's model makes Chris Duncan the favourite at 58%, with Drew Dober at 42%. The markets give Chris Duncan 60% on Polymarket, 60% on Kalshi and 59% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 58% favourite still loses 42% of the time.
When and where is Chris Duncan vs Drew Dober?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.