7 Nov 2026 · Meta APEX
Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi
Calderon 0 – 1 Bashi · Austin Bashi won. We had Austin Bashi at 56.1% and Carlos Calderon at 43.9%.
Ratings before the fight: Bashi 1506, Calderon 1464.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Bashi | Calderon |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 83.5% | 16.4% |
| Polymarket | 84.5% | 15.5% |
| Kalshi | 99.0% | 1.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Carlos Calderon no games yet, Austin Bashi L.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi?
Austin Bashi won 1–0 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Austin Bashi 56%.