Cricket · Road to 2029 season
ICC Women's Cricket World Cup forecasts
Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Women's Cricket World Cup odds. Favourite right now: Australia, 72%.
Upcoming
| Date | Match | First named | Second named |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2026 | India vs South Africa | 73% | 27% |
| 17 Dec 2026 | Bangladesh vs New Zealand | 14% | 86% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | India vs South Africa | 73% | 27% |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Bangladesh vs New Zealand | 14% | 86% |
| 22 Dec 2026 | India vs South Africa | 73% | 27% |
| 22 Dec 2026 | Bangladesh vs New Zealand | 14% | 86% |
| 6 Mar 2027 | New Zealand vs Australia | 12% | 88% |
| 8 Mar 2027 | New Zealand vs Australia | 12% | 88% |
| 9 Mar 2027 | New Zealand vs Australia | 12% | 88% |
| 3 Apr 2027 | Australia vs South Africa | 91% | 9% |
| 7 Apr 2027 | Australia vs South Africa | 91% | 9% |
| 10 Apr 2027 | Australia vs South Africa | 91% | 9% |
| 13 Jul 2027 | Australia vs England | 84% | 16% |
| 16 Jul 2027 | Australia vs England | 84% | 16% |
| 20 Jul 2027 | Australia vs England | 84% | 16% |
| 17 Sep 2027 | Bangladesh vs England | 11% | 89% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | India vs Zimbabwe | India won by 8 wickets | 95% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Zimbabwe vs India | India won by 121 runs | 94% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | India vs Zimbabwe | India won by 9 wickets | 94% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Australia vs Bangladesh | Australia won by 8 wickets | 98% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Australia vs Bangladesh | Australia won by 9 wickets | 98% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Australia vs Bangladesh | Australia won by 7 wickets | 98% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Zimbabwe vs West Indies | West Indies won by 91 runs | 70% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Zimbabwe vs West Indies | Zimbabwe won by 4 wickets | 16% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Zimbabwe vs West Indies | West Indies won by 99 runs | 82% |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Ireland vs England | England won by 114 runs | 92% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | England vs Ireland | England won by 6 wickets | 91% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | England vs Ireland | England won by 6 wickets | 91% |
Chance of winning the Women's Cricket World Cup
| Nation | Semi-final | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | >99% | 87% | 72% |
| India | 85% | 48% | 14% |
| England | 74% | 31% | 8% |
| New Zealand | 59% | 19% | 4% |
| South Africa | 35% | 8% | 1% |
| Sri Lanka | 23% | 4% | 1% |
| Pakistan | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| West Indies | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Scotland | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Thailand | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the Road to 2029 Women's Cricket World Cup?
Australia, at 72%, ahead of India (14%), England (8%) and New Zealand (4%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next ICC Women's Cricket World Cup matches?
According to PodiumOracle's model: India vs South Africa (16 December 2026): India 73%; Bangladesh vs New Zealand (17 December 2026): New Zealand 86%; India vs South Africa (19 December 2026): India 73%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's ICC Women's Cricket World Cup predictions?
On 449 games from held-back seasons (Road to 2022 to Road to 2029), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 71% of the time. Its log loss was 0.559, against 0.693 for the base rate and 0.634 for recent form.
How are the ICC Women's Cricket World Cup predictions made?
Every nation has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Women's Cricket World Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.