PodiumOracle FIFA World Cup

Football · 2026 season

FIFA World Cup forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results.

Upcoming

DateGameAwayDrawHome
12 Nov 2026India at New Zealand2%6%92%
12 Nov 2026Somalia at Ghana2%4%94%
12 Nov 2026Russia at Uzbekistan37%32%32%
12 Nov 2026Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar37%32%31%
12 Nov 2026Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea40%31%28%
12 Nov 2026Sierra Leone vs Congo DR6%14%80%
12 Nov 2026Belgium at Türkiye50%29%21%
12 Nov 2026Cyprus at Armenia25%31%45%
12 Nov 2026Eritrea at Guinea5%12%83%
12 Nov 2026Suriname at Lithuania60%25%15%
12 Nov 2026Eswatini at Malta14%24%62%
12 Nov 2026Sudan at Senegal3%8%89%
12 Nov 2026Namibia at Cameroon5%12%82%
12 Nov 2026Central African Republic vs Benin13%23%65%
12 Nov 2026Gambia at Ivory Coast7%15%77%
12 Nov 2026Guadeloupe vs Barbados57%26%16%
12 Nov 2026Guyana vs Cayman Islands90%7%3%
12 Nov 2026Finland at Albania17%26%57%
12 Nov 2026Spain at Czechia91%6%2%
12 Nov 2026Belarus at San Marino94%4%2%
12 Nov 2026Croatia at England5%11%84%
12 Nov 2026France at Italy48%30%22%
12 Nov 2026Latvia at Montenegro8%16%76%
12 Nov 2026Cuba vs Bonaire74%18%9%
12 Nov 2026Martinique at Aruba58%26%16%
12 Nov 2026Trinidad and Tobago at Antigua and Barbuda73%18%9%
13 Nov 2026Panama at Curaçao34%32%35%
13 Nov 2026Paraguay at Singapore91%7%3%
13 Nov 2026Ethiopia at Mozambique13%23%64%
13 Nov 2026Burundi at Zambia15%25%61%
13 Nov 2026Congo vs Comoros17%26%57%
13 Nov 2026Syria at Kuwait41%31%28%
13 Nov 2026Honduras at United Arab Emirates23%30%47%
13 Nov 2026South Korea vs Saudi Arabia45%30%25%
13 Nov 2026Australia at Qatar65%22%13%
13 Nov 2026Lebanon at Iraq9%18%72%
13 Nov 2026Tanzania at Nigeria3%7%90%
13 Nov 2026Liberia vs Cape Verde12%22%66%
13 Nov 2026Lesotho at Gabon13%23%65%
13 Nov 2026Libya at Tunisia15%25%59%
13 Nov 2026Mauritania at Burkina Faso11%21%69%
13 Nov 2026Kenya at South Africa6%14%80%
13 Nov 2026Kazakhstan at Moldova38%32%30%
13 Nov 2026Rwanda at Mali8%16%76%
13 Nov 2026Malawi at Egypt3%8%89%
13 Nov 2026St. Lucia vs Bermuda44%31%25%
13 Nov 2026Dominica vs Puerto Rico9%18%73%
13 Nov 2026Azerbaijan at Liechtenstein76%16%8%
13 Nov 2026Estonia at Luxembourg31%32%37%
13 Nov 2026Gibraltar at Andorra24%30%45%
13 Nov 2026Switzerland at Slovenia60%25%15%
13 Nov 2026Iceland at Bulgaria41%31%28%
13 Nov 2026Germany at Serbia54%27%18%
13 Nov 2026Greece at Netherlands9%19%72%
13 Nov 2026Faroe Islands at Slovakia7%15%78%
13 Nov 2026North Macedonia at Scotland12%21%67%
13 Nov 2026Niger at Morocco2%4%94%
13 Nov 2026St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada52%28%20%
13 Nov 2026El Salvador vs St. Martin56%27%17%
13 Nov 2026Uruguay at Argentina5%11%84%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
11 Nov 2026Chinese Taipei at Vietnam0–292%

Questions and answers

What are the odds for the next FIFA World Cup games?

According to PodiumOracle's model: India at New Zealand (12 November 2026): New Zealand 92%, a draw 6%; Somalia at Ghana (12 November 2026): Ghana 94%, a draw 4%; Russia at Uzbekistan (12 November 2026): Russia 37%, a draw 32%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's FIFA World Cup predictions?

On 3,007 games from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 60% of the time. Its log loss was 0.873, against 1.052 for the base rate and 0.982 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.866 against the bookmakers' 0.798 over 68 games (lower is better).

How are the FIFA World Cup predictions made?

Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.