Cricket · Road to 2027 season
ICC World Test Championship forecasts
Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the World Test Championship odds. Favourite right now: Australia, 53%.
Upcoming
| Date | Match | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Bangladesh vs Afghanistan | 40% | 17% | 43% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Australia vs South Africa | 32% | 16% | 51% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | England vs Pakistan | 160–0 | 62% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Pakistan vs England | 0–194 | 60% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Sri Lanka vs India | 0–0 | 14% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Australia vs Bangladesh | 111–0 | 78% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | England vs Pakistan | 163–0 | 58% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Sri Lanka vs India | 0–165 | 61% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Bangladesh vs Australia | 180–0 | 10% |
| 2 Aug 2026 | Pakistan vs West Indies | 160–0 | 46% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Pakistan vs West Indies | 0–90 | 34% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | West Indies vs Sri Lanka | 0–0 | 16% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh | 145–0 | 23% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | England vs New Zealand | 0–160 | 43% |
Chance of winning the World Test Championship
| Nation | Reach the final | Win the championship |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | 86% | 53% |
| South Africa | 58% | 26% |
| New Zealand | 38% | 15% |
| India | 8% | 3% |
| Bangladesh | 7% | 1% |
| England | 3% | 1% |
| Sri Lanka | 1% | <1% |
| West Indies | 0% | 0% |
| Pakistan | 0% | 0% |