Tennis · 2026 season

WTA forecasts

Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results.

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Questions and answers

What are the odds for the next WTA matches?

According to PodiumOracle's model: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia (12 November 2026): Andrea Lazaro Garcia 70%; Laura Samson vs Irene Burillo (12 November 2026): Laura Samson 56%; Bianca Andreescu vs Marina Bassols Ribera (12 November 2026): Bianca Andreescu 78%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's WTA predictions?

On 10,182 games from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 63% of the time. Its log loss was 0.629, against 0.693 for the base rate and 0.679 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.629 against the bookmakers' 0.575 over 1,943 games, 0.644 against Polymarket's 0.571 over 2,959 games and 0.628 against Kalshi's 0.577 over 1,936 games (lower is better).

How are the WTA predictions made?

Every player has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.