9 Nov 2026
Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
Sabalenka 2 – 0 Muchova · Aryna Sabalenka won. We had Karolina Muchova at 34.5% and Aryna Sabalenka at 65.5%.
Ratings before the match: Muchova 1874, Sabalenka 1978.
Hard court
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Muchova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Polymarket | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Kalshi | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Aryna Sabalenka WLWLL, Karolina Muchova WWLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka | 0–2 | 79% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova?
Aryna Sabalenka won 2–0 on 9 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Aryna Sabalenka 65%.