4 Oct 2026 · Canada Life Centre
Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose
Wolves 3 – 8 Moose · Manitoba Moose won. We had Manitoba Moose at 52.5% and Chicago Wolves at 47.5%.
Ratings before the game: Moose 1484, Wolves 1497, plus 30 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Moose | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Polymarket | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Chicago Wolves L, Manitoba Moose W.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose | 0–3 | 51% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves | 6–1 | 45% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves | 3–6 | 52% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves | 48% | 52% |
| 10 Dec 2026 | Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves | 48% | 52% |
| 4 Mar 2027 | Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose | 44% | 56% |
| 6 Mar 2027 | Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose | 44% | 56% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose?
Manitoba Moose won 8–3 on 4 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Manitoba Moose 53%.