12 Nov 2026 · H-E-B Center at Cedar Park
Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars
Moose 1 – 2 Texas · Texas Stars won. We had Texas Stars at 49.3% and Manitoba Moose at 50.7%.
Ratings before the game: Texas 1473, Moose 1508, plus 30 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Texas | Moose |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Polymarket | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Kalshi | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Manitoba Moose LWWWW, Texas Stars LLWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose | 4–7 | 54% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose | 3–4 | 56% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars | 3–2 | 50% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2027 | Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose | 41% | 59% |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose | 41% | 59% |
| 6 Feb 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars | 50% | 50% |
| 7 Feb 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars | 50% | 50% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars?
Texas Stars won 2–1 on 12 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Texas Stars 49%.