Football · 2027 season
AFC Asian Cup forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Asian Cup odds. Favourite right now: Japan, 28%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2027 | Palestine at Saudi Arabia | 61% | 25% | 15% |
| 8 Jan 2027 | North Korea at Bahrain | 51% | 29% | 21% |
| 8 Jan 2027 | Oman vs Kuwait | 26% | 31% | 44% |
| 8 Jan 2027 | Jordan vs Uzbekistan | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| 9 Jan 2027 | Singapore vs Australia | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| 9 Jan 2027 | Kyrgyz Republic vs Syria | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| 9 Jan 2027 | China vs Iran | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Yemen vs South Korea | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Iraq vs Tajikistan | 12% | 22% | 65% |
| 11 Jan 2027 | Thailand vs Qatar | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| 11 Jan 2027 | Indonesia vs Japan | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| 11 Jan 2027 | Vietnam vs United Arab Emirates | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| 12 Jan 2027 | Uzbekistan vs North Korea | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| 12 Jan 2027 | Saudi Arabia vs Oman | 19% | 28% | 53% |
| 12 Jan 2027 | Kuwait vs Palestine | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| 13 Jan 2027 | Bahrain vs Jordan | 60% | 25% | 15% |
Chance of winning the Asian Cup
| Team | Win group | Reach round of 16 | Quarter-final | Semi-final | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 92% | >99% | 80% | 54% | 37% | 28% |
| Australia | 82% | 99% | 78% | 41% | 26% | 18% |
| Iran | 77% | 98% | 78% | 49% | 24% | 15% |
| Saudi Arabia | 61% | 94% | 69% | 49% | 31% | 12% |
| South Korea | 68% | 98% | 61% | 35% | 16% | 9% |
| Uzbekistan | 47% | 91% | 60% | 36% | 19% | 7% |
| Jordan | 36% | 86% | 53% | 29% | 14% | 4% |
| United Arab Emirates | 22% | 89% | 29% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| Iraq | 15% | 89% | 36% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| Syria | 11% | 71% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 1% |