7 Nov 2026 · MEWA ARENA
Bayern Munich at Mainz
Bayern 2 – 1 Mainz · Bayern Munich won. We had Mainz at 13.3%, a draw at 20.6% and Bayern Munich at 66.2%.
Ratings before the game: Mainz 1510, Bayern 1797, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 6°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 10).
The betting market (closing odds) had Mainz at 11.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Mainz | Draw | Bayern |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 13.3% | 20.6% | 66.2% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 10.1% | 14.1% | 75.9% |
| Polymarket | 8.5% | 13.4% | 78.1% |
| Kalshi | 8.7% | 13.6% | 77.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Bayern Munich WDWWD, Mainz WLWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2027 | Mainz at Bayern Munich | 7% | 12% | 81% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Bayern Munich at Mainz?
Bayern Munich won 2–1 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Bayern Munich 66%.