Football · 2026–27 season

Bundesliga forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Bayern Munich, 74%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Werder Bremen at Borussia Dortmund73%17%10%
10 Oct 2026VfB Stuttgart at SC Paderborn 0719%25%56%
10 Oct 2026SV Elversberg at 1. FC Union Berlin35%29%36%
10 Oct 2026Bayer Leverkusen at Mainz30%29%41%
10 Oct 2026Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg13%20%66%
10 Oct 2026Hamburg SV at TSG Hoffenheim56%25%19%
10 Oct 2026Eintracht Frankfurt at RB Leipzig54%26%20%
11 Oct 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach at FC Cologne41%29%30%
11 Oct 2026Schalke 04 at SC Freiburg63%22%15%
16 Oct 2026FC Cologne at Eintracht Frankfurt58%24%18%
17 Oct 2026FC Augsburg at SV Elversberg45%28%27%
17 Oct 2026Mainz at Schalke 0429%29%42%
17 Oct 2026SC Paderborn 07 at Werder Bremen56%25%19%
17 Oct 2026VfB Stuttgart at Hamburg SV24%27%49%
17 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund at 1. FC Union Berlin16%23%61%
17 Oct 2026RB Leipzig at Bayern Munich71%18%11%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026TSG Hoffenheim at SC Paderborn 071–324%
20 Sep 2026SV Elversberg at Schalke 040–029%
20 Sep 2026RB Leipzig at Bayer Leverkusen0–248%
19 Sep 2026Borussia Dortmund at VfB Stuttgart1–036%
19 Sep 2026FC Augsburg at Werder Bremen2–338%
19 Sep 2026FC Cologne at Hamburg SV1–244%
19 Sep 2026Mainz at Borussia Mönchengladbach4–335%
19 Sep 2026SC Freiburg at Eintracht Frankfurt2–229%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop fourRelegation play-offRelegated
Bayern Munich74%99%0%0%
Borussia Dortmund21%94%0%0%
Bayer Leverkusen3%64%<1%<1%
RB Leipzig1%36%<1%<1%
VfB Stuttgart<1%32%<1%<1%
SC Freiburg<1%28%1%<1%
Mainz<1%12%2%1%
SV Elversberg<1%10%2%2%
Eintracht Frankfurt<1%8%3%3%
FC Augsburg<1%7%3%2%