Canadian football · 2026 season
CFL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Grey Cup odds. Favourite right now: Montreal Alouettes, 33%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa REDBLACKS | 23% | 77% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Edmonton Elks | 80% | 20% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Ottawa REDBLACKS | 35% | 65% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Calgary Stampeders at Saskatchewan Roughriders | 61% | 39% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | BC Lions at Toronto Argonauts | 49% | 51% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes | 68% | 32% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ottawa REDBLACKS at Calgary Stampeders | 38–40 | 85% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Edmonton Elks at Toronto Argonauts | 19–24 | 44% |
Chance of winning the Grey Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Win division | Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Alouettes | 100% | 99% | 63% | 33% |
| Edmonton Elks | 100% | 94% | 56% | 29% |
| BC Lions | 95% | 2% | 26% | 14% |
| Toronto Argonauts | >99% | 1% | 22% | 10% |
| Saskatchewan Roughriders | 95% | 4% | 16% | 8% |
| Winnipeg Blue Bombers | 57% | <1% | 9% | 4% |
| Calgary Stampeders | 51% | <1% | 7% | 3% |
| Hamilton Tiger-Cats | 2% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Ottawa REDBLACKS | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |