Week 5 · 4 Jul 2026
Edmonton Elks at BC Lions
Elks 24 – 36 Lions · BC Lions won. We had BC Lions at 51.6% and Edmonton Elks at 48.4%.
Ratings before the game: Lions 1495, Elks 1529, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Lions | Elks |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Polymarket | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Kalshi | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Edmonton Elks WWW, BC Lions LLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | BC Lions at Edmonton Elks | 17–19 | 55% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | BC Lions at Edmonton Elks | 16–28 | 61% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Edmonton Elks at BC Lions?
BC Lions won 36–24 on 4 July 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave BC Lions 52%.