12 Nov 2026
Charles Schwab Cup Championship
Each player's chance from 20,000 simulations of the tournament, using ratings fit only on earlier results.
The field
| Player | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Johnson | 17% | 52% |
| Stewart Cink | 16% | 49% |
| Steven Alker | 11% | 39% |
| Ernie Els | 6% | 28% |
| Padraig Harrington | 5% | 25% |
| Miguel Angel Jiménez | 3% | 18% |
| Alex Cejka | 3% | 17% |
| Retief Goosen | 3% | 17% |
| Søren Kjeldsen | 3% | 16% |
| George McNeill | 2% | 13% |
| Freddie Jacobson | 2% | 15% |
| Jerry Kelly | 2% | 15% |
| Cameron Percy | 2% | 13% |
| Y.E. Yang | 2% | 13% |
| Darren Fichardt | 2% | 13% |
| Richard Green | 2% | 14% |
| Darren Clarke | 2% | 11% |
| Scott Hend | 1% | 11% |
| Tag Ridings | 1% | 10% |
| Vijay Singh | 1% | 9% |
| Rory Sabbatini | 1% | 9% |
| Vaughn Taylor | 1% | 9% |
| Boo Weekley | 1% | 8% |
| Ben Crane | 1% | 8% |
| Stephen Ames | 1% | 7% |
| Ricardo Gonzalez | 1% | 8% |
| Steve Allan | 1% | 7% |
| Charlie Wi | 1% | 7% |
| Tommy Gainey | 1% | 7% |
| David Toms | 1% | 6% |
| Thongchai Jaidee | 1% | 6% |
| Michael Wright | 1% | 6% |
| Tim O'Neal | 1% | 5% |
| Bo Van Pelt | 1% | 5% |
| Dicky Pride | <1% | 4% |
Calendar
- Mitsubishi Electric Championship at Hualalai 22 Jan 2026, won by Stewart Cink
- Chubb Classic 13 Feb 2026, won by David Toms
- James Hardie Pro-Football HOF Invitational 6 Mar 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- Cologuard Classic 20 Mar 2026, won by Steven Alker
- Hoag Classic 27 Mar 2026, won by Stewart Cink
- Senior PGA Championship 16 Apr 2026, won by Stewart Cink
- Mitsubishi Electric Classic 24 Apr 2026, won by Retief Goosen
- Regions Tradition 30 Apr 2026, won by Stewart Cink
- Insperity Invitational 8 May 2026, won by Boo Weekley
- Trophy Hassan II 21 May 2026, won by Scott Hend
- Principal Charity Classic 12 Jun 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- DICK'S Open 26 Jun 2026, won by Dicky Pride
- U.S. Senior Open Championship 2 Jul 2026, won by Padraig Harrington
- Kaulig Companies Championship 9 Jul 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- ISPS HANDA Senior Open 23 Jul 2026, won by Jerry Kelly
- Portugal Invitational 31 Jul 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- Boeing Classic 14 Aug 2026, won by Stewart Cink
- Rogers Charity Classic 21 Aug 2026, won by Steven Alker
- The Ally Challenge 28 Aug 2026, won by Steven Alker
- Sanford International 11 Sep 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- PURE Insurance Championship 18 Sep 2026, won by Zach Johnson
- Jefferson Lehigh Valley Classic 2 Oct 2026, won by Steven Alker
- Constellation FURYK & FRIENDS 9 Oct 2026, won by Vaughn Taylor
- SAS Championship 16 Oct 2026, won by Vijay Singh
- Stifel Charity Classic 23 Oct 2026, won by Rory Sabbatini
- Simmons Bank Championship 30 Oct 2026, won by Darren Fichardt
- Charles Schwab Cup Championship 12 Nov 2026
- Skechers World Champions Cup 3 Dec 2026
Questions and answers
Who will win the Charles Schwab Cup Championship?
Zach Johnson is the favourite at 17%, ahead of Stewart Cink (16%), Steven Alker (11%) and Ernie Els (6%), from 20,000 simulations of the tournament with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's PGA Tour Champions predictions?
On 81 tournaments from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 11% of the time in fields of about 82, and it gave the eventual winner 6% on average. Its log loss was 3.404, against 4.364 for treating every player as equal and 3.595 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished events, its log loss was 3.094 against Kalshi's 3.517 over 19 tournaments (lower is better).