Football · 2026–27 season

Conference League forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Conference League odds. Favourite right now: Brighton & Hove Albion, 29%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
15 Oct 2026Kairat Almaty at Riga FC65%15%20%
15 Oct 2026Red Star Belgrade at FC Lugano71%13%16%
15 Oct 2026Getafe at CSU Craiova26%17%57%
15 Oct 2026AS Monaco at CSKA Sofia9%8%83%
15 Oct 2026Borac Banja Luka at Panathinaikos81%9%10%
15 Oct 2026Inter D'Escaldes at Mjällby AIF51%18%31%
15 Oct 2026Trabzonspor at KuPS Kuopio26%17%57%
15 Oct 2026FC Midtjylland at Egnatia22%15%63%
15 Oct 2026AGF at KAA Gent60%16%24%
15 Oct 2026Ajax Amsterdam at Hajduk Split27%17%56%
15 Oct 2026Pafos at Atalanta65%15%21%
15 Oct 2026Lincoln Red Imps at SK Brann73%12%15%
15 Oct 2026Jablonec at SC Freiburg80%9%10%
15 Oct 2026Iberia 1999 at Sint-Truidense50%18%32%
15 Oct 2026FC Nordsjælland at Heart of Midlothian39%18%42%
15 Oct 2026FC Thun at FC Twente79%10%11%

Chance of winning the Conference League

Every team

TeamTop eightReach knockoutsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalWin
Brighton & Hove Albion78%99%95%76%57%42%29%
AS Monaco60%97%89%64%43%28%17%
SC Freiburg36%90%75%47%29%16%8%
Panathinaikos41%94%78%48%27%15%7%
FC Midtjylland60%97%85%51%27%14%6%
FC Lugano58%96%83%51%27%14%6%
Atalanta57%96%83%49%26%12%5%
FC Twente52%95%79%44%22%10%4%
Ajax Amsterdam34%88%68%36%17%7%3%
Braga43%92%72%37%17%7%3%