Football · 2026–27 season
Conference League forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Conference League odds. Favourite right now: Brighton & Hove Albion, 29%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Kairat Almaty at Riga FC | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Red Star Belgrade at FC Lugano | 71% | 13% | 16% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Getafe at CSU Craiova | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | AS Monaco at CSKA Sofia | 9% | 8% | 83% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Borac Banja Luka at Panathinaikos | 81% | 9% | 10% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Inter D'Escaldes at Mjällby AIF | 51% | 18% | 31% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Trabzonspor at KuPS Kuopio | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | FC Midtjylland at Egnatia | 22% | 15% | 63% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | AGF at KAA Gent | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Ajax Amsterdam at Hajduk Split | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Pafos at Atalanta | 65% | 15% | 21% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps at SK Brann | 73% | 12% | 15% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Jablonec at SC Freiburg | 80% | 9% | 10% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Iberia 1999 at Sint-Truidense | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | FC Nordsjælland at Heart of Midlothian | 39% | 18% | 42% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | FC Thun at FC Twente | 79% | 10% | 11% |
Chance of winning the Conference League
| Team | Top eight | Reach knockouts | Round of 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 78% | 99% | 95% | 76% | 57% | 42% | 29% |
| AS Monaco | 60% | 97% | 89% | 64% | 43% | 28% | 17% |
| SC Freiburg | 36% | 90% | 75% | 47% | 29% | 16% | 8% |
| Panathinaikos | 41% | 94% | 78% | 48% | 27% | 15% | 7% |
| FC Midtjylland | 60% | 97% | 85% | 51% | 27% | 14% | 6% |
| FC Lugano | 58% | 96% | 83% | 51% | 27% | 14% | 6% |
| Atalanta | 57% | 96% | 83% | 49% | 26% | 12% | 5% |
| FC Twente | 52% | 95% | 79% | 44% | 22% | 10% | 4% |
| Ajax Amsterdam | 34% | 88% | 68% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Braga | 43% | 92% | 72% | 37% | 17% | 7% | 3% |