Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
ECHL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Kelly Cup odds. Favourite right now: Florida Everblades, 38%.
Live and upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Reading Royals at Trenton Ironhawks | 3–1 | 42% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Idaho Steelheads at Wichita Thunder | 2–0 | 54% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Wheeling Nailers at Maine Mariners | 2–5 | 54% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Orlando Solar Bears at Greenville Swamp Rabbits | 3–4 | 55% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Wichita Thunder at Tulsa Oilers | 5–3 | 38% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Cincinnati Cyclones at Indy Fuel | 3–2 | 49% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Trenton Ironhawks at Norfolk Admirals | 3–4 | 48% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Wheeling Nailers at Worcester Railers | 5–3 | 53% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Fort Wayne Komets at Kalamazoo Wings | 3–1 | 53% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Orlando Solar Bears at Savannah Ghost Pirates | 6–3 | 45% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Florida Everblades at Jacksonville Icemen | 4–1 | 69% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Allen Americans at New Mexico Goatheads | 3–1 | 53% |
Chance of winning the Kelly Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Division final | Conference final | Kelly Cup Finals | Win Kelly Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Everblades | >99% | 87% | 66% | 53% | 38% |
| Kansas City Mavericks | 95% | 71% | 49% | 30% | 15% |
| Toledo Walleye | 93% | 59% | 35% | 19% | 8% |
| South Carolina Stingrays | 98% | 68% | 24% | 15% | 8% |
| Trois-Rivières Lions | 95% | 62% | 36% | 12% | 6% |
| Fort Wayne Komets | 71% | 40% | 22% | 11% | 4% |
| Maine Mariners | 79% | 47% | 25% | 8% | 3% |
| Allen Americans | 84% | 44% | 19% | 9% | 3% |
| Wheeling Nailers | 65% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 3% |
| Idaho Steelheads | 64% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Kelly Cup?
Florida Everblades, at 38%, ahead of Kansas City Mavericks (15%), Toledo Walleye (8%) and South Carolina Stingrays (8%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next ECHL games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Tahoe Knight Monsters at Rapid City Rush (12 November 2026): Rapid City Rush 53%; Tulsa Oilers at Kansas City Mavericks (12 November 2026): Kansas City Mavericks 69%; Worcester Railers at Greensboro Gargoyles (13 November 2026): Greensboro Gargoyles 50%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's ECHL predictions?
On 2,421 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 59% of the time. Its log loss was 0.670, against 0.693 for the base rate and 0.684 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.654 against the bookmakers' 0.676 over 112 games (lower is better).
How are the ECHL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Kelly Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.