5 Nov 2026 · Estádio da Luz
Lech Poznan at Benfica
Lech Poznan 1 – 3 Benfica · Benfica won. We had Benfica at 73.2%, a draw at 12.0% and Lech Poznan at 14.7%.
Ratings before the game: Benfica 1937, Lech Poznan 1762, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 11).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Benfica | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 73.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 78.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Kalshi | 79.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Lech Poznan LLD, Benfica WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Lech Poznan at Benfica?
Benfica won 3–1 on 5 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Benfica 73%.