PodiumOracle Europa League

Football · 2026–27 season

Europa League forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Europa League odds. Favourite right now: Union St.-Gilloise, 15%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
15 Oct 2026Crystal Palace at Lyon60%16%24%
15 Oct 2026Lillestrom at Sparta Prague48%18%33%
15 Oct 2026AC Milan at RB Salzburg33%18%49%
15 Oct 2026Hapoel Be'er at AZ Alkmaar61%16%23%
15 Oct 2026Real Sociedad at Union St.-Gilloise77%10%12%
15 Oct 2026Sunderland at Torreense16%13%72%
15 Oct 2026Bayer Leverkusen at Lech Poznan27%17%56%
15 Oct 2026Omonia Nicosia at NK Celje64%15%21%
15 Oct 2026Anderlecht at Dinamo Zagreb58%17%26%
15 Oct 2026Olympiacos at Marseille43%18%38%
15 Oct 2026Juventus at Celta Vigo28%17%55%
15 Oct 2026ARARAT-ARMENIA at Jagiellonia Bialystok63%15%22%
15 Oct 2026Celtic at Benfica82%9%9%
15 Oct 2026Besiktas at TSG Hoffenheim45%18%37%
15 Oct 2026Viktoria Plzen at Ferencvaros49%18%33%
15 Oct 2026Levski Sofia at NEC Nijmegen60%16%24%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
17 Sep 2026RB Salzburg at Levski Sofia1–055%
17 Sep 2026TSG Hoffenheim at OFI CRETE0–228%
17 Sep 2026Lech Poznan at Crystal Palace0–455%
17 Sep 2026Torreense at Lillestrom2–130%
17 Sep 2026Union St.-Gilloise at Viktoria Plzen3–047%
17 Sep 2026Ferencvaros at Celtic3–133%
17 Sep 2026NEC Nijmegen at Juventus0–584%
17 Sep 2026AFC Bournemouth at Real Sociedad2–165%
17 Sep 2026Marseille at Besiktas1–446%
16 Sep 2026Sparta Prague at ARARAT-ARMENIA4–123%
16 Sep 2026Celta Vigo at Omonia Nicosia0–125%
16 Sep 2026Benfica at AC Milan2–040%

Chance of winning the Europa League

Every team

TeamTop eightReach knockoutsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalWin
Union St.-Gilloise76%>99%94%66%42%25%15%
AFC Bournemouth87%>99%97%67%42%25%14%
Benfica86%>99%96%65%40%22%12%
Bayer Leverkusen64%99%90%59%35%20%11%
Lyon61%99%89%58%33%19%10%
Juventus70%99%91%58%34%19%10%
Stade Rennais51%98%83%46%23%11%5%
Sunderland63%99%87%49%24%11%4%
Crystal Palace53%98%83%45%22%10%4%
AC Milan18%89%65%34%17%8%4%