5 Nov 2026 · BayArena
Marseille at Bayer Leverkusen
Marseille 1 – 0 Leverkusen · Marseille won. We had Bayer Leverkusen at 62.4%, a draw at 15.4% and Marseille at 22.2%.
Ratings before the game: Leverkusen 1856, Marseille 1768, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 6°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 19).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Leverkusen | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 62.4% | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 68.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| Kalshi | 69.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Marseille LLL, Bayer Leverkusen WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Marseille at Bayer Leverkusen?
Marseille won 1–0 on 5 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Marseille 22%.