Round 12 · 26 Sep 2026 · Baku
Baku feature race 2
Each driver's chance from 20,000 simulations of the race, using ratings fit only on earlier results. The entry list isn't out yet, so the field is the last race's. In the championship, Rafael Câmara is 45% to win the title.
The field
| Driver | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Câmara | 23% | 57% |
| Alexander Dunne | 16% | 44% |
| Nikola Tsolov | 10% | 30% |
| Gabriele Mini | 7% | 21% |
| Noel Leon | 6% | 18% |
| Dino Beganovic | 5% | 17% |
| Tasanapol Inthraphuvasak | 5% | 16% |
| Joshua Dürksen | 5% | 15% |
| Laurens van Hoepen | 3% | 10% |
| Martinius Stenshorne | 3% | 10% |
| Kush Maini | 3% | 10% |
| Hiyu Yamakoshi | 3% | 8% |
| Ritomo Miyata | 2% | 7% |
| Oliver Goethe | 2% | 7% |
| Sebastian Montoya | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson Fittipaldi | 1% | 5% |
| John Bennett | 1% | 4% |
| Rafael Villagomez | 1% | 4% |
| Roman Bilinski | 1% | 3% |
| Colton Herta | 1% | 3% |
| Cian Shields | 1% | 2% |
| Mari Boya | 1% | 2% |
Chance of winning the Formula 2 Championship
| Driver | Points | Projected | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Câmara | 182 | 215 | 45% |
| Nikola Tsolov | 181 | 206 | 27% |
| Alexander Dunne | 174 | 203 | 23% |
| Gabriele Mini | 161 | 183 | 5% |
| Dino Beganovic | 131 | 152 | <1% |
| Noel Leon | 129 | 151 | <1% |
| Martinius Stenshorne | 93 | 110 | 0% |
| Joshua Dürksen | 90 | 109 | 0% |
| Kush Maini | 90 | 107 | 0% |
| Laurens van Hoepen | 80 | 97 | 0% |
Calendar
- Melbourne sprint race 7 Mar 2026, won by Joshua Dürksen
- Melbourne feature race 8 Mar 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Miami Gardens sprint race 2 May 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Miami Gardens feature race 3 May 2026, won by Gabriele Mini
- Montréal sprint race 23 May 2026, won by Noel Leon
- Montréal feature race 24 May 2026, won by Martinius Stenshorne
- Monte Carlo sprint race 6 Jun 2026, won by Noel Leon
- Monte Carlo feature race 7 Jun 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Barcelona sprint race 13 Jun 2026, won by Kush Maini
- Barcelona feature race 14 Jun 2026, won by Rafael Câmara
- Spielberg sprint race 27 Jun 2026, won by John Bennett
- Spielberg feature race 28 Jun 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Silverstone sprint race 4 Jul 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Silverstone feature race 5 Jul 2026, won by Nikola Tsolov
- Spa-Francorchamps sprint race 18 Jul 2026, won by Joshua Dürksen
- Spa-Francorchamps feature race 19 Jul 2026, won by Rafael Câmara
- Budapest sprint race 25 Jul 2026, won by Gabriele Mini
- Budapest feature race 26 Jul 2026, won by Noel Leon
- Monza sprint race 5 Sep 2026, won by Joshua Dürksen
- Monza feature race 6 Sep 2026, won by Joshua Dürksen
- Madrid sprint race 12 Sep 2026, won by Ritomo Miyata
- Madrid feature race 13 Sep 2026, won by Dino Beganovic
- Baku sprint race 25 Sep 2026, won by Dino Beganovic
- Baku feature race 1 25 Sep 2026, won by Alexander Dunne
- Baku feature race 2 26 Sep 2026
- Lusail sprint race 28 Nov 2026
- Lusail feature race 29 Nov 2026
- Yas Marina sprint race 5 Dec 2026
- Yas Marina feature race 6 Dec 2026