Group D
New Zealand
Rated 1865 (No. 5 of 101), 0–0 this season, 8% to win the T20 World Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 68%
- Reach Super 8
- 40%
- Semi-final
- 18%
- Reach final
- 8%
- Win
- 5.6
- Projected points
Rating
New Zealand is rated 1865, No. 5 of 101. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | New Zealand vs India | New Zealand won by 7 wickets | 37% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | India vs New Zealand | New Zealand won by 87 runs | 25% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | India vs New Zealand | India won by 6 wickets | 72% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | India vs New Zealand | India won by 4 wickets | 68% |
Questions and answers
What is New Zealand's chance of winning the Road to 2028 T20 World Cup?
8%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. New Zealand is No. 5 of 101 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.