Road to 2028 season odds

The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the T20 World Cup decided by the league's own format.

Every nation

NationReach Super 8Semi-finalReach finalWin
England89%81%62%45%
South Africa78%48%27%12%
Pakistan75%49%25%11%
India70%45%23%10%
New Zealand68%40%18%8%
Australia56%29%12%4%
West Indies52%29%11%4%
Nepal48%20%7%2%
United States of America31%12%4%1%
Sri Lanka40%10%3%1%
Afghanistan38%9%2%1%
Namibia25%5%1%<1%
Ireland28%6%2%<1%
United Arab Emirates18%5%1%<1%
Netherlands20%3%1%<1%
Italy14%2%<1%<1%
Zimbabwe24%4%1%<1%
Scotland11%2%<1%<1%
Canada12%2%<1%<1%
Oman5%<1%<1%0%

Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the Road to 2028 T20 World Cup?

England, at 45%, ahead of South Africa (12%), Pakistan (11%) and India (10%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.