PodiumOracle ICC Men's T20 World Cup

Cricket · Road to 2028 season

ICC Men's T20 World Cup forecasts

Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the T20 World Cup odds. Favourite right now: England, 44%.

Live and upcoming

DateMatchHomeAway
25 Sep 2026Bermuda vs Bahamas15%85%
25 Sep 2026Bermuda vs Bahamas15%85%
26 Sep 2026Nepal vs Japan26%74%
25 Sep 2026Bermuda vs Bahamas15%85%
26 Sep 2026Nepal vs Japan26%74%
26 Sep 2026Oman vs Malaysia66%34%
26 Sep 2026Ghana vs Nigeria74%26%
27 Sep 2026Sierra Leone vs Nigeria79%21%
3 Oct 2026Indonesia vs South Korea42%58%
4 Oct 2026Indonesia vs South Korea42%58%
5 Oct 2026Indonesia vs South Korea42%58%
5 Oct 2026Myanmar vs Bhutan73%27%
5 Oct 2026Thailand vs Bahrain80%20%
5 Oct 2026Indonesia vs South Korea42%58%
5 Oct 2026Qatar vs Kuwait38%62%
6 Oct 2026Thailand vs Qatar84%16%
6 Oct 2026Bhutan vs Bahrain83%17%
6 Oct 2026Mongolia vs Kuwait88%12%
6 Oct 2026West Indies vs India69%31%
8 Oct 2026Thailand vs Kuwait76%24%
8 Oct 2026Mongolia vs Bhutan67%33%
8 Oct 2026Myanmar vs Bahrain93%7%
8 Oct 2026Maldives vs China39%61%
8 Oct 2026Singapore vs Saudi Arabia60%40%
8 Oct 2026Hong Kong vs Malaysia47%53%
9 Oct 2026Thailand vs Mongolia29%71%
9 Oct 2026Kuwait vs Bahrain56%44%
9 Oct 2026Myanmar vs Qatar94%6%
9 Oct 2026Saudi Arabia vs Malaysia58%42%
9 Oct 2026Hong Kong vs China8%92%
9 Oct 2026Singapore vs Maldives23%77%
9 Oct 2026West Indies vs India69%31%
9 Oct 2026Sri Lanka vs Pakistan80%20%
11 Oct 2026Saudi Arabia vs Hong Kong62%38%
11 Oct 2026Maldives vs Malaysia87%13%
11 Oct 2026Singapore vs China16%84%
11 Oct 2026Myanmar vs Kuwait91%9%
11 Oct 2026Qatar vs Bhutan14%86%
11 Oct 2026Mongolia vs Bahrain91%9%
11 Oct 2026West Indies vs India69%31%
11 Oct 2026Sri Lanka vs Pakistan80%20%
12 Oct 2026Singapore vs Malaysia68%32%
12 Oct 2026Maldives vs Hong Kong89%11%

Recent results

All results

DateMatchScorePre-game chance of the winner
25 Sep 2026Sierra Leone vs Ghana13–036%
25 Sep 2026Nepal vs Afghanistan40–046%
25 Sep 2026Oman vs Hong Kong0–4165%
24 Sep 2026Bahamas vs Cayman Islands0–13181%
24 Sep 2026Malaysia vs Hong Kong64–039%
24 Sep 2026Afghanistan vs Japan48–071%
23 Sep 2026Bermuda vs Cayman Islands80–046%
23 Sep 2026Bermuda vs Cayman Islands0–1648%
22 Sep 2026Sierra Leone vs Ghana48–026%
22 Sep 2026India vs Japan2–083%
21 Sep 2026Ghana vs Nigeria0–6460%
19 Sep 2026Uganda vs Kenya0–3934%

Chance of winning the T20 World Cup

Every nation

NationReach Super 8Semi-finalReach finalWin
England90%81%61%44%
Pakistan82%59%34%16%
India78%54%29%13%
South Africa75%47%24%11%
Australia63%33%14%5%
New Zealand59%28%10%4%
Nepal52%21%7%2%
West Indies40%16%5%2%
Afghanistan42%14%5%1%
United States of America36%13%4%1%