IndyCar
IndyCar ratings and forecasts. Álex Palou is 15% to win the IndyCar Series championship.
Chance of winning the IndyCar Series championship
| Driver | Points | Projected | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Palou | 0 | 508 | 15% |
| Pato O'Ward | 0 | 499 | 14% |
| Christian Lundgaard | 0 | 498 | 14% |
| Kyle Kirkwood | 0 | 463 | 10% |
| Scott McLaughlin | 0 | 463 | 10% |
| Marcus Ericsson | 0 | 424 | 6% |
| David Malukas | 0 | 419 | 6% |
| Rinus VeeKay | 0 | 407 | 5% |
| Will Power | 0 | 393 | 4% |
| Josef Newgarden | 0 | 401 | 4% |
Calendar
- Grand Prix of St. Petersburg 1 Mar 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Phoenix 7 Mar 2026, won by Josef Newgarden
- Grand Prix of Arlington 15 Mar 2026, won by Kyle Kirkwood
- Grand Prix of Alabama 29 Mar 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Long Beach 19 Apr 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Indianapolis (Road Course) 9 May 2026, won by Christian Lundgaard
- Indianapolis 500 24 May 2026, won by Felix Rosenqvist
- Grand Prix of Detroit 31 May 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Illinois 8 Jun 2026, won by Josef Newgarden
- Grand Prix of Road America 21 Jun 2026, won by Christian Lundgaard
- Grand Prix of Mid-Ohio 5 Jul 2026, won by Pato O'Ward
- Grand Prix of Nashville 20 Jul 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Portland 9 Aug 2026, won by Álex Palou
- Grand Prix of Ontario 16 Aug 2026, won by Marcus Ericsson
- Grand Prix of Washington, D.C. 23 Aug 2026, won by Kyle Kirkwood
- Grand Prix of Milwaukee Race 1 29 Aug 2026, won by Pato O'Ward
- Grand Prix of Milwaukee Race 2 30 Aug 2026, won by Pato O'Ward
- Grand Prix of Monterey 6 Sep 2026, won by Scott McLaughlin
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 IndyCar Series championship?
Álex Palou, at 15%, ahead of Pato O'Ward (14%) and Christian Lundgaard (14%), from 10,000 simulations of the remaining races with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's IndyCar predictions?
On 52 races from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 31% of the time in fields of about 27, and it gave the eventual winner 11% on average. Its log loss was 2.467, against 3.284 for treating every driver as equal and 2.527 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished events, its log loss was 2.299 against Kalshi's 1.868 over 15 races (lower is better).