8 Nov 2026 · Reale Arena
Rayo Vallecano at Real Sociedad
Rayo 0 – 1 Real Sociedad · Real Sociedad won. We had Real Sociedad at 46.9%, a draw at 27.9% and Rayo Vallecano at 25.3%.
Ratings before the game: Real Sociedad 1519, Rayo 1501, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 27°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 35).
The betting market (closing odds) had Real Sociedad at 51.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.9% | 27.9% | 25.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 52.3% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
| Polymarket | 52.3% | 24.9% | 22.8% |
| Kalshi | 52.2% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Rayo Vallecano WDDLW, Real Sociedad WWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2027 | Real Sociedad at Rayo Vallecano | 31% | 29% | 40% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Rayo Vallecano at Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad won 1–0 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Real Sociedad 47%.