Football · 2026–27 season

La Liga forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Barcelona, 81%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Espanyol at Málaga35%29%35%
10 Oct 2026Athletic Club at Rayo Vallecano42%29%29%
10 Oct 2026Atlético Madrid at Alavés25%28%47%
10 Oct 2026Getafe at Barcelona81%13%7%
10 Oct 2026Villarreal at Real Madrid61%23%16%
11 Oct 2026Celta Vigo at Elche35%29%35%
11 Oct 2026Deportivo at Real Sociedad54%26%20%
11 Oct 2026Osasuna at Real Betis60%23%17%
11 Oct 2026Valencia at Racing Santander33%29%38%
12 Oct 2026Sevilla at Levante43%29%29%
16 Oct 2026Levante at Deportivo39%29%32%
17 Oct 2026Atlético Madrid at Espanyol23%27%50%
17 Oct 2026Elche at Villarreal65%21%14%
17 Oct 2026Barcelona at Real Betis21%26%53%
17 Oct 2026Athletic Club at Valencia39%29%32%
18 Oct 2026Racing Santander at Osasuna54%26%20%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Real Sociedad at Valencia3–228%
20 Sep 2026Levante at Villarreal1–360%
20 Sep 2026Real Betis at Deportivo1–128%
20 Sep 2026Real Madrid at Atlético Madrid1–233%
20 Sep 2026Málaga at Getafe0–155%
19 Sep 2026Barcelona at Sevilla3–165%
19 Sep 2026Racing Santander at Celta Vigo0–558%
19 Sep 2026Alavés at Athletic Club0–027%
19 Sep 2026Rayo Vallecano at Osasuna1–129%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop fourRelegated
Barcelona81%>99%0%
Real Madrid14%96%0%
Atlético Madrid4%82%<1%
Real Betis1%58%<1%
Villarreal<1%24%1%
Rayo Vallecano<1%4%8%
Athletic Club<1%9%4%
Sevilla<1%7%4%
Real Sociedad<1%6%4%
Alavés<1%4%7%