Week 7 · 16 Oct 2026 · Jyväskylän jäähalli
Kärpät at JYP
Kärpät 5 – 4 JYP · Kärpät won. We had JYP at 61.7% and Kärpät at 38.3%.
Ratings before the game: JYP 1530, Kärpät 1482, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | JYP | Kärpät |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Polymarket | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Kalshi | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Kärpät WLWWL, JYP LLWLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | JYP at Kärpät | 4–3 | 49% |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Kärpät at JYP | 1–7 | 63% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2026 | JYP at Kärpät | 56% | 44% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Kärpät at JYP?
Kärpät won 5–4 on 16 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Kärpät 38%.