Ice hockey · 2026–27 season

Liiga forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Kanada-malja odds. Favourite right now: SaiPa, 22%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeAway
26 Sep 2026Ässät at HPK49%51%
26 Sep 2026Lukko at KalPa56%45%
26 Sep 2026Jokerit at K-Espoo63%37%
26 Sep 2026Jukurit at KooKoo60%40%
26 Sep 2026HIFK at Pelicans55%45%
26 Sep 2026Kärpät at Sport43%57%
26 Sep 2026SaiPa at Tappara54%46%
27 Sep 2026TPS at Ilves69%31%
29 Sep 2026Jukurit at Ilves68%32%
29 Sep 2026HPK at Jokerit52%48%
30 Sep 2026TPS at K-Espoo61%39%
30 Sep 2026SaiPa at Kärpät38%62%
30 Sep 2026KooKoo at Tappara63%37%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
25 Sep 2026TPS at Jokerit2–146%
25 Sep 2026KooKoo at Ilves0–660%
25 Sep 2026K-Espoo at Jukurit1–249%
25 Sep 2026JYP at HIFK4–354%
25 Sep 2026SaiPa at Ässät5–051%
24 Sep 2026Tappara at Lukko2–347%
23 Sep 2026KalPa at KooKoo5–444%
23 Sep 2026Ässät at SaiPa2–137%
23 Sep 2026K-Espoo at Sport1–063%
23 Sep 2026Kärpät at HIFK1–357%
22 Sep 2026Lukko at HPK3–150%
22 Sep 2026Kärpät at Tappara0–468%

Chance of winning the Kanada-malja

Every team

TeamMake playoffsTop four (bye)Quarter-finalSemi-finalFinalWin Kanada-malja
SaiPa99%75%91%63%39%22%
Ilves99%72%90%60%36%20%
Tappara98%54%84%53%30%17%
JYP99%69%87%52%28%13%
KalPa90%26%62%30%13%6%
Lukko88%23%59%28%13%6%
Ässät89%26%60%25%10%4%
K-Espoo81%15%48%20%8%3%
KooKoo64%6%37%15%6%3%
Jukurit77%11%39%12%4%1%