Week 10 · 13 Nov 2026 · Lappeenrannan jäähalli I
Ilves at SaiPa
We have SaiPa at 54.1% and Ilves at 45.9%.
Ratings going in: SaiPa 1561, Ilves 1568, plus 35 for playing at home.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | SaiPa | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Ilves LLWWW, SaiPa WWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | SaiPa at Ilves | 44% | 56% |
| 14 Jan 2027 | Ilves at SaiPa | 46% | 54% |
| 6 Mar 2027 | SaiPa at Ilves | 44% | 56% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Ilves at SaiPa?
PodiumOracle's model makes SaiPa the favourite at 54%, with Ilves at 46%. The markets give SaiPa 50% on Kalshi and 50% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 54% favourite still loses 46% of the time.
When and where is Ilves at SaiPa?
13 November 2026, at Lappeenrannan jäähalli I (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.