South
Australia
Rated 1744 (No. 7 of 12), 1–3 this season, 0% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Top of conference
- 0%
- Win the title
- 12.5
- Projected points
Rating
Australia is rated 1744, No. 7 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Australia at Scotland | 25% | 3% | 73% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Australia at Wales | 64% | 3% | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Australia at England | 22–45 | 75% |
Questions and answers
What is Australia's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Australia is No. 7 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Australia play next, and what are their chances?
Australia at Scotland on 15 November 2026 at Murrayfield. PodiumOracle's model gives Australia 25%, a draw 3%.