15 Nov 2026 · Murrayfield
Australia at Scotland
We have Scotland at 72.8%, a draw at 2.6% and Australia at 24.6%.
Ratings going in: Scotland 1842, Australia 1744, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 15), rain 1.7 mm/h.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Scotland | Draw | Australia |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 72.8% | 2.6% | 24.6% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 67.9% | 4.3% | 27.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Australia DWLLL, Scotland LWLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Australia at Scotland?
PodiumOracle's model makes Scotland the favourite at 73%, a draw 3%, with Australia at 25%. The markets give Scotland 68% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 73% favourite still loses 27% of the time.
When and where is Australia at Scotland?
15 November 2026, at Murrayfield. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.