North
England
Rated 1898 (No. 5 of 12), 3–1 this season, 5% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 20%
- Top of conference
- 5%
- Win the title
- 20.9
- Projected points
Rating
England is rated 1898, No. 5 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Japan at England | 3% | <1% | 97% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | New Zealand at England | 69% | 3% | 28% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Australia at England | 22–45 | 75% |
Questions and answers
What is England's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
5%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. England is No. 5 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do England play next, and what are their chances?
Japan at England on 14 November 2026 at Allianz Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives England 97%, a draw under 1%.