North
Italy
Rated 1513 (No. 11 of 12), 0–4 this season, 0% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Top of conference
- 0%
- Win the title
- 4.5
- Projected points
Rating
Italy is rated 1513, No. 11 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Argentina at Italy | 60% | 3% | 37% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Fiji at Italy | 45% | 3% | 51% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | South Africa at Italy | 66–7 | 95% |
Questions and answers
What is Italy's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Italy is No. 11 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Italy play next, and what are their chances?
Argentina at Italy on 14 November 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. PodiumOracle's model gives Italy 37%, a draw 3%.