South
Japan
Rated 1378 (No. 12 of 12), 1–3 this season, 0% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Top of conference
- 0%
- Win the title
- 5.6
- Projected points
Rating
Japan is rated 1378, No. 12 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Japan at England | 3% | <1% | 97% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Japan at Scotland | 4% | 1% | 96% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Japan at Wales | 21–28 | 78% |
Questions and answers
What is Japan's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Japan is No. 12 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Japan play next, and what are their chances?
Japan at England on 14 November 2026 at Allianz Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Japan 3%, a draw under 1%.