North
Scotland
Rated 1842 (No. 6 of 12), 2–2 this season, <1% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 1%
- Top of conference
- <1%
- Win the title
- 18.6
- Projected points
Rating
Scotland is rated 1842, No. 6 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Australia at Scotland | 25% | 3% | 73% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Japan at Scotland | 4% | 1% | 96% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | New Zealand at Scotland | 43–21 | 70% |
Questions and answers
What is Scotland's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Scotland is No. 6 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Scotland play next, and what are their chances?
Australia at Scotland on 15 November 2026 at Murrayfield. PodiumOracle's model gives Scotland 73%, a draw 3%.