Big West Conference

Cal Poly Mustangs

Rated 1556 (No. 46 of 201), 36–22 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

90%
Make tournament
19%
Super regional
3%
Men's College World Series
<1%
Win title
36.6
Projected wins

Rating

Cal Poly Mustangs is rated 1556, No. 46 of 201. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
1 Jun 2026Cal Poly Mustangs vs Saint Mary's Gaels5–263%

Questions and answers

What is Cal Poly Mustangs' chance of winning the 2027 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Cal Poly Mustangs are No. 46 of 201 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.