Atlantic Coast Conference
North Carolina Tar Heels
Rated 1796 (No. 3 of 201), 45–12 this season, 8% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 98%
- Make tournament
- 52%
- Super regional
- 23%
- Men's College World Series
- 8%
- Win title
- 38.7
- Projected wins
Rating
North Carolina Tar Heels is rated 1796, No. 3 of 201. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Questions and answers
What is North Carolina Tar Heels' chance of winning the 2027 national championship?
8%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. North Carolina Tar Heels are No. 3 of 201 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.