14 Nov 2026 · XFINITY Center
Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins
We have Maryland Terrapins at 27.4% and Virginia Cavaliers at 72.6%.
Ratings going in: Maryland 1761, Virginia 2062, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: UVA +2.1 game score against its usual; MD +7.4 game score against its usual. Net 42 rating points to MD.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Maryland | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Polymarket | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Kalshi | 26.5% | 73.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Virginia Cavaliers WWWW, Maryland Terrapins WL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins?
PodiumOracle's model makes Virginia Cavaliers the favourite at 73%, with Maryland Terrapins at 27%. The markets give Virginia Cavaliers 72% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 73% favourite still loses 27% of the time.
When and where is Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins?
14 November 2026, at XFINITY Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.