Atlantic Coast Conference

Virginia Cavaliers

Rated 2062 (No. 19 of 364), 4–0 this season, 1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

79%
Make tournament
32%
Sweet 16
7%
Final Four
3%
Title game
1%
Win title
23.6
Projected wins

Rating

Virginia Cavaliers is rated 2062, No. 19 of 364. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayHome
14 Nov 2026Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins73%27%

Questions and answers

What is Virginia Cavaliers' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Virginia Cavaliers are No. 19 of 364 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Virginia Cavaliers play next, and what are their chances?

Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins on 14 November 2026 at XFINITY Center. PodiumOracle's model gives Virginia Cavaliers 73%.