Atlantic Coast Conference
SMU Mustangs
Rated 1836 (No. 70 of 364), 3–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 24%
- Make tournament
- 4%
- Sweet 16
- <1%
- Final Four
- <1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 19.1
- Projected wins
Rating
SMU Mustangs is rated 1836, No. 70 of 364. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs | 6% | 94% |
Questions and answers
What is SMU Mustangs' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. SMU Mustangs are No. 70 of 364 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do SMU Mustangs play next, and what are their chances?
Ball State Cardinals at SMU Mustangs on 14 November 2026 at Moody Coliseum (Dallas). PodiumOracle's model gives SMU Mustangs 94%.