America East Conference
UMBC Retrievers
Rated 1656 (No. 169 of 364), 1–2 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 39%
- Make tournament
- 1%
- Sweet 16
- <1%
- Final Four
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 18.7
- Projected wins
Rating
UMBC Retrievers is rated 1656, No. 169 of 364. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Morgan State Bears at UMBC Retrievers | 17% | 83% |
Questions and answers
What is UMBC Retrievers' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. UMBC Retrievers are No. 169 of 364 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do UMBC Retrievers play next, and what are their chances?
Morgan State Bears at UMBC Retrievers on 12 November 2026 at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. PodiumOracle's model gives UMBC Retrievers 83%.