Division I

Virginia Cavaliers

Rated 1870 (No. 7 of 77), 10–6 this season, 5% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

93%
Make tournament
52%
Quarterfinal
24%
Final Four
11%
Title game
5%
Win title
10.5
Projected wins

Rating

Virginia Cavaliers is rated 1870, No. 7 of 77. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
10 May 2026Georgetown Hoyas at Virginia Cavaliers14–1034%

Questions and answers

What is Virginia Cavaliers' chance of winning the 2027 national championship?

5%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Virginia Cavaliers are No. 7 of 77 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.