Lacrosse · 2026 season over
NCAA men's lacrosse forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Princeton Tigers, 33%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Princeton Tigers | 9–16 | 61% |
| 23 May 2026 | Duke Blue Devils at Princeton Tigers | 7–14 | 71% |
| 23 May 2026 | Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7–15 | 70% |
| 17 May 2026 | Penn State Nittany Lions at Princeton Tigers | 10–14 | 58% |
| 17 May 2026 | Georgetown Hoyas at Duke Blue Devils | 6–16 | 51% |
| 16 May 2026 | Johns Hopkins Blue Jays at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9–15 | 84% |
| 16 May 2026 | Syracuse Orange at North Carolina Tar Heels | 13–11 | 49% |
| 10 May 2026 | Jacksonville Dolphins at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5–18 | 87% |
| 10 May 2026 | Marist Red Foxes at Princeton Tigers | 8–17 | 95% |
| 10 May 2026 | Yale Bulldogs at Syracuse Orange | 15–16 | 71% |
| 10 May 2026 | Georgetown Hoyas at Virginia Cavaliers | 14–10 | 34% |
| 9 May 2026 | UAlbany Great Danes at North Carolina Tar Heels | 6–24 | 80% |
Chance of winning the national championship
| Team | Make tournament | Quarterfinal | Final Four | Title game | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers | >99% | 88% | 68% | 49% | 33% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 99% | 71% | 44% | 26% | 14% |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 98% | 69% | 41% | 22% | 11% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 94% | 54% | 27% | 13% | 6% |
| Richmond Spiders | 96% | 55% | 26% | 12% | 5% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 93% | 52% | 24% | 11% | 5% |
| Cornell Big Red | 93% | 52% | 25% | 11% | 5% |
| Syracuse Orange | 91% | 50% | 23% | 10% | 5% |
| Georgetown Hoyas | 92% | 48% | 21% | 9% | 4% |
| Army Black Knights | 95% | 50% | 22% | 9% | 4% |