Softball · 2026 season over
NCAA softball forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Texas Longhorns, 18%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2026 | Texas Longhorns vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | 4–1 | 61% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns | 3–7 | 57% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Alabama Crimson Tide | 2–0 | 41% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 5–2 | 57% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns | 0–4 | 60% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Alabama Crimson Tide vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | 4–5 | 38% |
| 31 May 2026 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Texas Longhorns | 1–3 | 46% |
| 31 May 2026 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCLA Bruins | 8–7 | 44% |
| 30 May 2026 | UCLA Bruins vs Arkansas Razorbacks | 11–0 | 49% |
| 30 May 2026 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 1–2 | 49% |
| 30 May 2026 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Alabama Crimson Tide | 1–5 | 47% |
| 29 May 2026 | Arkansas Razorbacks vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | 3–5 | 58% |
Chance of winning the national championship
| Team | Make tournament | Super regional | Women's College World Series | Championship series | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | 100% | 85% | 65% | 29% | 18% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 100% | 82% | 60% | 22% | 13% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 100% | 81% | 60% | 22% | 12% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 100% | 77% | 53% | 17% | 9% |
| UCLA Bruins | 100% | 78% | 54% | 17% | 9% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 100% | 76% | 52% | 15% | 8% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 100% | 69% | 42% | 11% | 5% |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 100% | 67% | 39% | 10% | 5% |
| Florida Gators | >99% | 63% | 35% | 8% | 4% |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 100% | 60% | 31% | 7% | 4% |