Atlantic Coast Conference
North Carolina Tar Heels
Rated 1668 (No. 41 of 150), 32–19 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 66%
- Make tournament
- 5%
- Super regional
- 1%
- Women's College World Series
- <1%
- Championship series
- <1%
- Win title
- 18.7
- Projected wins
Rating
North Carolina Tar Heels is rated 1668, No. 41 of 150. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Questions and answers
What is North Carolina Tar Heels' chance of winning the 2027 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. North Carolina Tar Heels are No. 41 of 150 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.