12 Nov 2026 · Haas Pavilion
Charleston Cougars at California Golden Bears
We have California Golden Bears at 85.2% and Charleston Cougars at 14.8%.
Ratings going in: California 1974, Charleston 1833, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: COFC -5.5 game score against its usual; CAL +5.6 game score against its usual. Net 89 rating points to CAL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | California | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 85.2% | 14.8% |
| Polymarket | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Kalshi | 99.0% | 1.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Charleston Cougars WWL, California Golden Bears WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Charleston Cougars at California Golden Bears?
PodiumOracle's model makes California Golden Bears the favourite at 85%, with Charleston Cougars at 15%. The markets give California Golden Bears 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 85% favourite still loses 15% of the time.
When and where is Charleston Cougars at California Golden Bears?
12 November 2026, at Haas Pavilion. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.