PodiumOracle NCAA women's basketball

Basketball · 2026–27 season

NCAA women's basketball forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the national championship odds. Favourite right now: UCLA Bruins, 34%.

Upcoming

DateGameAwayHome
12 Nov 2026East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Elon Phoenix50%50%
12 Nov 2026Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61%39%
12 Nov 2026Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at East Texas A&M Lions44%56%
12 Nov 2026Western Kentucky Lady Toppers at Vanderbilt Commodores1%99%
12 Nov 2026Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs35%65%
12 Nov 2026Delaware Blue Hens at Wisconsin Badgers4%96%
12 Nov 2026Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds47%53%
12 Nov 2026Arkansas State Red Wolves at Loyola Chicago Ramblers61%39%
12 Nov 2026Warner Pacific Knights at Portland Pilots2%98%
12 Nov 2026Sul Ross State Lobos at Tarleton State Texans10%90%
12 Nov 2026Chicago State Cougars at UIC Flames6%94%
12 Nov 2026Seattle U Redhawks at Cal Poly Mustangs42%58%
12 Nov 2026Nelson American Indian Warriors at Utah Tech Trailblazers26%74%
12 Nov 2026Northwest Nazarene Nighthawks at Oregon State Beavers3%97%
12 Nov 2026New Mexico Lobos at Fresno State Bulldogs58%42%
12 Nov 2026Colorado Buffaloes at San Diego State Aztecs45%55%
12 Nov 2026West Virginia State Yellow Jackets at Marshall Thundering Herd1%99%
12 Nov 2026Morehead State Eagles at Murray State Racers5%95%
12 Nov 2026Chattanooga Mocs at Northern Kentucky Norse29%71%
12 Nov 2026Albany State Golden Rams at Florida A&M Rattlers37%63%
12 Nov 2026UNC Wilmington Seahawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons13%87%
12 Nov 2026Central Methodist Eagles at SIU Edwardsville Cougars13%87%
12 Nov 2026Spalding Pelicans at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles5%95%
12 Nov 2026Charleston Cougars at California Golden Bears15%85%
12 Nov 2026Cal State Fullerton Titans at UC Davis Aggies26%74%
12 Nov 2026Portland State Vikings at UC San Diego Tritons1%99%
12 Nov 2026Holy Cross Crusaders at Brown Bears54%46%
12 Nov 2026South Florida Bulls at Florida Gators26%74%
12 Nov 2026Oklahoma State Cowgirls at Tulsa Golden Hurricane93%7%
12 Nov 2026Old Dominion Monarchs at Richmond Spiders16%84%
12 Nov 2026Virginia Tech Hokies at VCU Rams95%5%
12 Nov 2026Southern Illinois Salukis at Eastern Kentucky Colonels5%95%
12 Nov 2026Sacramento State Hornets at Buffalo Bulls81%19%
12 Nov 2026Longwood Lancers at Pennsylvania Quakers9%91%
12 Nov 2026UConn Huskies at Ohio State Buckeyes74%26%
12 Nov 2026Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Lady Volunteers6%94%
12 Nov 2026Western Carolina Catamounts at UNC Asheville Bulldogs34%66%
13 Nov 2026Alabama Crimson Tide at Memphis Tigers94%6%
13 Nov 2026Fairfield Stags at Seton Hall Pirates63%37%
13 Nov 2026Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8%92%
13 Nov 2026Saint Peter's Peacocks at Miami Hurricanes1%99%
13 Nov 2026Manhattan Jaspers at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights11%89%
13 Nov 2026Rhode Island Rams at Wagner Seahawks99%1%
13 Nov 2026South Carolina Gamecocks at Clemson Tigers95%5%
13 Nov 2026Duke Blue Devils at Norfolk State Spartans98%2%
13 Nov 2026Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Lipscomb Bisons12%88%
13 Nov 2026Jackson State Lady Tigers at Southern Miss Lady Eagles19%81%
13 Nov 2026North Dakota State Bison at Butler Bulldogs46%54%
13 Nov 2026North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Milwaukee Panthers52%48%
13 Nov 2026Michigan Wolverines at Columbia Lions61%39%
13 Nov 2026Rider Broncs at Central Connecticut Blue Devils64%36%
13 Nov 2026Merrimack Warriors at Villanova Wildcats2%98%
13 Nov 2026LSU New Orleans Privateers at Tulane Green Wave6%94%
13 Nov 2026Howard Bison at Iowa State Cyclones22%78%
13 Nov 2026SE Louisiana Lady Lions at TCU Horned Frogs<1%>99%
13 Nov 2026Northwestern State Lady Demons at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters7%93%
13 Nov 2026Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Arkansas Razorbacks7%93%
13 Nov 2026UT Martin Skyhawks at Missouri Tigers4%96%
13 Nov 2026Louisville Cardinals at Ball State Cardinals87%13%
13 Nov 2026Texas Southern Tigers at Rice Owls<1%>99%
13 Nov 2026Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers at Baylor Bears<1%>99%
13 Nov 2026Arlington Baptist Patriots at Lamar Cardinals4%96%
13 Nov 2026North Florida Ospreys at Little Rock Trojans24%76%
13 Nov 2026Northern Iowa Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes3%97%
13 Nov 2026Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Washington Huskies<1%>99%
13 Nov 2026Arizona Wildcats at UCLA Bruins<1%>99%
13 Nov 2026American University Eagles at Delaware State Hornets30%70%
13 Nov 2026Valparaiso Beacons at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons5%95%
13 Nov 2026Towson Tigers at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds74%26%
13 Nov 2026Oral Roberts Golden Eagles at Oklahoma Sooners1%99%
13 Nov 2026Troy Trojans at Belmont Bruins66%34%
13 Nov 2026Stephens STEPHENS at Lindenwood Lions5%95%
13 Nov 2026Louisiana Christian Wildcats at Southern Jaguars2%98%
13 Nov 2026Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Texas State Bobcats18%82%
13 Nov 2026Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Utah State Aggies38%62%
13 Nov 2026Walla Walla Wolves at Eastern Washington Eagles7%93%
13 Nov 2026Saint Mary's Gaels at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine15%85%
13 Nov 2026Canisius Golden Griffins at Cornell Big Red20%80%
13 Nov 2026Northwestern Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers1%99%
13 Nov 2026Le Moyne Dolphins at UCF Knights6%94%
13 Nov 2026West Georgia Wolves at Stonehill Skyhawks72%28%
13 Nov 2026Bryant & Stratton-Albany Bobcats at Monmouth Hawks11%89%
13 Nov 2026Guilford Quakers at North Carolina A&T Aggies11%89%
13 Nov 2026Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers4%96%
13 Nov 2026Drake Bulldogs at Omaha Mavericks67%33%
14 Nov 2026Denver Pioneers at LSU Tigers<1%>99%
14 Nov 2026Oregon Ducks at Maine Black Bears86%14%
14 Nov 2026Samford Bulldogs at Indiana Hoosiers6%94%
14 Nov 2026Auburn Tigers at Texas Tech Lady Raiders10%90%
14 Nov 2026Wright State Raiders at Indiana State Sycamores46%54%
14 Nov 2026Fisk Bulldogs at North Alabama Lions4%96%
14 Nov 2026Marquette Golden Eagles at Missouri State Lady Bears30%70%
14 Nov 2026College of Biblical Studies Ambassadors at McNeese Cowgirls2%98%
14 Nov 2026Loyola Marymount Lions vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs79%21%
14 Nov 2026Pacific Tigers at California Baptist Lancers18%82%
14 Nov 2026Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at Kansas City Roos51%49%
14 Nov 2026Gonzaga Bulldogs at Grand Canyon Lopes46%54%
14 Nov 2026Utah Utes at Boise State Broncos60%40%
14 Nov 2026Wyoming Cowgirls at Colorado State Rams6%94%
14 Nov 2026Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Washington State Cougars24%76%
14 Nov 2026Princeton Tigers at Pepperdine Waves90%10%
14 Nov 2026Houston Cougars at Montana Lady Griz71%29%
14 Nov 2026Stanford Cardinal at Santa Clara Broncos41%59%
14 Nov 2026Rider Broncs at Yale Bulldogs11%89%
14 Nov 2026Wofford Terriers at Georgia Southern Eagles22%78%
14 Nov 2026Providence Friars at Boston College Eagles66%34%
14 Nov 2026Clinton Golden Bears at Winthrop Eagles15%85%
14 Nov 2026Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Panthers8%92%
14 Nov 2026Mississippi State Bulldogs at Buffalo Bulls95%5%
14 Nov 2026Mississippi Valley State Devilettes at Tennessee State Lady Tigers19%81%
14 Nov 2026Georgia Lady Bulldogs at Ohio Bobcats78%22%
14 Nov 2026NJIT Highlanders at Dartmouth Big Green78%22%
14 Nov 2026Duquesne Dukes at Kent State Golden Flashes36%64%
14 Nov 2026Sacramento State Hornets at Niagara Purple Eagles97%3%
14 Nov 2026Tarleton State Texans at Texas Longhorns<1%>99%
14 Nov 2026North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Detroit Mercy Titans42%58%
14 Nov 2026Air Force Falcons at Navy Midshipmen35%65%
14 Nov 2026DePaul Blue Demons vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish1%99%
14 Nov 2026South Carolina Upstate Spartans at UNC Greensboro Spartans32%68%
14 Nov 2026Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Massachusetts Minutewomen1%99%
14 Nov 2026Binghamton Bearcats at St. Bonaventure Bonnies44%56%
14 Nov 2026Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Kansas State Wildcats75%25%
14 Nov 2026Queens University Royals at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs42%58%
14 Nov 2026Milwaukee Panthers at Loyola Chicago Ramblers8%92%
14 Nov 2026Rhode Island Rams at St. John's Red Storm51%49%
14 Nov 2026Bucknell Bison at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers47%53%
14 Nov 2026Boston University Terriers at Quinnipiac Bobcats8%92%
14 Nov 2026North Florida Ospreys at Central Arkansas Sugar Bears5%95%
14 Nov 2026Wisconsin Badgers at Green Bay Phoenix43%57%
14 Nov 2026Evansville Purple Aces at Eastern Illinois Panthers61%39%
14 Nov 2026Illinois State Redbirds at Saint Louis Billikens82%18%
14 Nov 2026South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs at High Point Panthers1%99%
14 Nov 2026Florida Atlantic Owls at Florida Gulf Coast Eagles24%76%
14 Nov 2026Warner Royals at Jacksonville Dolphins2%98%
14 Nov 2026Eureka Red Devils at SIU Edwardsville Cougars9%91%
14 Nov 2026Furman Paladins at Campbell Fighting Camels57%43%
14 Nov 2026California Golden Bears at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos82%18%
14 Nov 2026UC Riverside Highlanders at Wichita State Shockers36%64%
14 Nov 2026Alabama State Lady Hornets at UTEP Miners35%65%
14 Nov 2026North Carolina Central Eagles at George Mason Patriots2%98%
14 Nov 2026Houston Christian Huskies at Weber State Wildcats14%86%
14 Nov 2026Youngstown State Penguins at Colorado Buffaloes8%92%
14 Nov 2026Incarnate Word Cardinals at North Texas Mean Green6%94%
14 Nov 2026Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Fresno State Bulldogs22%78%
14 Nov 2026St. Thomas Tommies at Army Black Knights20%80%
14 Nov 2026LSU Shreveport Pilots at UT Arlington Mavericks9%91%
14 Nov 2026North Carolina Tar Heels at Pennsylvania Quakers87%13%
14 Nov 2026Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah Valley Wolverines22%78%
14 Nov 2026Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Kansas Jayhawks55%45%
14 Nov 2026Cal State Northridge Matadors at San Diego Toreros20%80%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
12 Nov 2026North Carolina Central Eagles at North Carolina Tar Heels40–109>99%
12 Nov 2026South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays49–5476%
12 Nov 2026Liberty Flames at NC State Wolfpack47–7186%
12 Nov 2026Monmouth Hawks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights62–6458%
12 Nov 2026Bryant Bulldogs at Providence Friars53–4730%
12 Nov 2026UAlbany Great Danes at Ole Miss Rebels41–9598%
12 Nov 2026High Point Panthers at East Carolina Pirates67–5450%
12 Nov 2026Massachusetts Minutewomen at Harvard Crimson65–7882%
12 Nov 2026Long Island University Sharks at SMU Mustangs50–6975%
12 Nov 2026Northeastern Huskies at Sacred Heart Pioneers61–4626%
12 Nov 2026App State Mountaineers at Davidson Wildcats71–6710%
12 Nov 2026South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Texas Longhorns63–9396%

Chance of winning the national championship

Every team

TeamMake tournamentSweet 16Final FourTitle gameWin title
UCLA Bruins>99%92%67%50%34%
Texas Longhorns>99%86%50%31%16%
South Carolina Gamecocks99%83%47%30%16%
UConn Huskies>99%85%49%29%15%
LSU Tigers97%65%22%9%4%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish88%53%16%6%2%
Michigan Wolverines80%46%13%5%2%
TCU Horned Frogs99%61%16%6%2%
Duke Blue Devils63%35%10%4%1%
Oklahoma Sooners76%39%9%3%1%

Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 national championship?

UCLA Bruins, at 34%, ahead of Texas Longhorns (16%), South Carolina Gamecocks (16%) and UConn Huskies (15%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What are the odds for the next NCAA women's basketball games?

According to PodiumOracle's model: East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Elon Phoenix (12 November 2026): Elon Phoenix 50%; Abilene Christian Wildcats at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (12 November 2026): Abilene Christian Wildcats 61%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at East Texas A&M Lions (12 November 2026): East Texas A&M Lions 56%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's NCAA women's basketball predictions?

On 12,298 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 78% of the time. Its log loss was 0.452, against 0.658 for the base rate and 0.533 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.508 against the bookmakers' 0.506 over 273 games, 0.455 against Polymarket's 0.572 over 5,849 games and 0.455 against Kalshi's 0.437 over 4,340 games (lower is better).

How are the NCAA women's basketball predictions made?

Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the national championship odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.